Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#334
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#328
Pace67.6#214
Improvement-3.5#312

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#330
First Shot-8.4#338
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#75
Layup/Dunks-4.9#327
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#227
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement-1.3#252

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#313
First Shot-5.4#319
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks-3.6#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#230
Freethrows-2.0#304
Improvement-2.2#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 30.0 - 4.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 410.0 - 9.010.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 16   @ Iowa St. L 53-79 1%     0 - 1 -8.0 -14.5 +6.8
  Nov 08, 2018 92   @ South Dakota St. L 61-78 4%     0 - 2 -8.9 -3.5 -7.4
  Nov 21, 2018 36   @ Iowa L 78-105 2%     0 - 3 -12.9 -0.1 -9.8
  Nov 28, 2018 118   @ Akron L 54-86 5%     0 - 4 -25.5 -8.6 -18.1
  Dec 12, 2018 131   @ Boise St. L 57-67 6%     0 - 5 -4.6 -9.1 +3.7
  Dec 15, 2018 37   @ Utah St. L 48-86 2%     0 - 6 -24.1 -23.0 +2.3
  Dec 18, 2018 177   @ Sam Houston St. L 57-78 10%     0 - 7 -19.1 -17.4 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2018 90   Liberty L 55-73 6%     0 - 8 -12.5 -9.2 -5.5
  Dec 22, 2018 196   Campbell L 69-70 17%     0 - 9 -3.2 +1.1 -4.4
  Jan 05, 2019 294   Grambling St. W 74-53 42%     1 - 9 1 - 0 +10.4 -3.0 +12.9
  Jan 07, 2019 328   Jackson St. W 59-57 57%     2 - 9 2 - 0 -12.3 -13.6 +1.4
  Jan 12, 2019 320   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-82 33%     2 - 10 2 - 1 -18.9 -5.7 -13.1
  Jan 14, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley W 81-79 OT 61%     3 - 10 3 - 1 -13.5 -3.1 -10.5
  Jan 19, 2019 348   @ Alabama A&M W 72-54 53%     4 - 10 4 - 1 +4.8 +0.8 +5.0
  Jan 26, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 74-59 79%     5 - 10 5 - 1 -5.9 -3.1 -2.0
  Jan 28, 2019 336   Southern W 69-65 64%     6 - 10 6 - 1 -12.4 -14.7 +2.1
  Feb 02, 2019 238   @ Texas Southern L 59-83 15%     6 - 11 6 - 2 -25.6 -15.4 -10.6
  Feb 04, 2019 234   @ Prairie View L 67-69 15%     6 - 12 6 - 3 -3.4 -4.3 +0.9
  Feb 09, 2019 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-75 53%     6 - 13 6 - 4 -19.4 -7.1 -12.5
  Feb 11, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 82-59 79%     7 - 13 7 - 4 +2.0 -1.0 +2.6
  Feb 16, 2019 348   Alabama A&M W 68-62 73%     8 - 13 8 - 4 -12.8 -3.5 -8.6
  Feb 23, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 69-74 OT 61%     8 - 14 8 - 5 -20.4 -10.6 -9.7
  Feb 25, 2019 336   @ Southern W 60-57 43%     9 - 14 9 - 5 -7.8 -12.5 +5.0
  Mar 02, 2019 238   Texas Southern L 68-78 30%     9 - 15 9 - 6 -17.2 -12.4 -4.5
  Mar 04, 2019 234   Prairie View L 69-96 30%     9 - 16 9 - 7 -34.0 -8.6 -24.8
  Mar 07, 2019 294   @ Grambling St. L 66-93 24%     9 - 17 9 - 8 -32.1 -4.0 -29.0
  Mar 09, 2019 328   @ Jackson St. L 70-82 36%     9 - 18 9 - 9 -20.8 -2.5 -18.3
  Mar 12, 2019 328   @ Jackson St. W 58-49 36%     10 - 18 +0.2 -6.5 +8.0
  Mar 15, 2019 238   Texas Southern L 66-80 22%     10 - 19 -18.4 -15.2 -2.3
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%